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Academics See No Clear Exit for Johnson or Replacement PM_我的网站

一 |     由你来说： 投票截止前"裸体小镇"还以71%的得票率碾压全场，结果正式出炉瞬间，"沙滩"突然变成100%，另外两个选项直接归零——这反转连演都不演了，黑客Cyberleek这是把玩家当傻子？据社区追踪，黑客Cyberleek在放出第10段GTA 6开发片段后，于近日开启了第11段实机内容的社区投票，候选主题分别为"海滩""裸体小镇"和"脱衣舞俱乐部2"。在投票进行期间，"裸体小镇"一直以绝对优势领跑，截至投票结束前数小时已获得超过56000票，占比高达71%，而"海滩"与"脱衣舞俱乐部2"分别仅有约14.7%和14.2%的支持率，三者差距悬殊。    British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is fighting for his political life but his opponents have few options for replacing him — so say two senior academics.,Calls for Johnson to go have reached fever pitch since Chris Pincher, the Conservative MP he appointed as deputy chief whip in February, was sacked for drunkenly groping two men at a posh private members' club in London.,This week it emerged that Johnson had been informed of earlier sexual assault claims against Pincher before he promoted him — leaving cabinet colleagues were embarrassed at having to defend the ever-changing official line.,Laura McAllister, professor of public policy at the Wales Governance Centre, told Sputnik nobody should take Johnson's political demise for granted.,"He survived so much in a way that few other politicians have ever managed to, particularly those in senior public office and prime minister," McAllister says. "He operates by a completely different set of rules and principles and ethics, which we would assume would be his undoing, but actually in reality he seems to have been able to ride the storm".,The academic points to Johnson's survival of the scandals around his advisor Dominic Cummings, 'Partygate', his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic before the Pincher affair. But she conceded that the spate of ministerial resignations led by Sajid Javid as health secretary and Rishi Sunak as chancellor of the exchequer were "hugely significant.","Two Cabinet members who sat in Cabinet yesterday morning had resigned without warning by the evening," the professor stresses "I think it's also fair to say that both of those individuals are thinking about their own potential bids to stand as the next leader of the Conservative Party and therefore timing is very much predicated on that.",McAllister says things have changed since the days of Margaret Thatcher, who resigned in 1990 after failing to win a leadership challenge by an overwhelming margin.,"[T]here was a much stronger Cabinet code, a ministerial code that was upheld broadly, or if it wasn't upheld, then there were consequences," she says "That's not the case now, and it seems very likely that Johnson will not resign of his own accord.","He still has a base of support, of course, even though that’s dwindling away now," she adds.,The academic also doubts that a general election would break the political deadlock.,"Whilst Labour are a few percentage points ahead, they clearly aren’t making sufficient headway to be confident of winning a majority," McAllister says. "The best they could hope for in the current polling would be a minority government and potentially having to seek coalition partners".,Those could include the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party (SNP), who would demand a repeat of the 2014 independence referendum as the price of their support. Ironically, independence for Scotland and its 59 parliamentary seats would shore up the Conservative majority in Westminster and make Labour nigh on unelectable.,"[Labour leader] Keir Starmer has already ruled out any deals with the SNP for obvious constitutional reasons, and therefore with Plaid Cymru in Wales," she points out, "So it seems unlikely that that route to power is open".,McAllister believes a new Tory leader would at least enjoy a "honeymoon period" bounce in the polls.,"And who knows, were Johnson to be defenestrated, it might be that a new leader might choose to capitalize on the honeymoon period and call an earlier election," she speculates.,Beleaguered BoJo Battles With Opposition at Weekly PM's Questions12:52 GMT,No 'Coup', But Then Who?,Mark Garnett, a politics professor at Lancaster University and author of the books "The British Prime Minister in an Age of Upheaval" and "From Anger to Apathy: The British Experience" thinks Johnson has no hope of survival. But he does not see how the party can push the PM out if he refuses to jump.,He says Javid and Sunak's resignations are "serious blows" to Johnson, but they are only "symptoms of a more general crisis of leadership".,"Johnson has been involved in too many incidents which raise questions about his personal integrity," Garnett says, with ministers told to defend the PM against allegations that turned out to be true. "In effect, they have been asked to lie in public on his behalf. Their patience has finally snapped.",But the professor does not see the near simultaneous resignations as a "coup", stressing: "The most surprising thing is that ministers have tolerated Johnson for so long".,While Sunak was seen as the favorite to succeed Johnson just six months ago "he is being held at least partly responsible for the country's economic problems and his chances of becoming prime minister are now very remote," Garnett says. "Sajid Javid's chances are greater, but Conservative members (who make the final decision) seem more attracted to the Defence Secretary, Ben Wallace, who has not resigned.",The academic believes MPs are worried that Johnson is now an "electoral liability" who could cost them their seats at the next general election. "The party has just lost two by-elections in crucial seats, and the main reason given by those who voted against them was Boris Johnson's leadership," he stresses.,But the problem of how to remove Johnson from office if he will not quit remains.,"Currently the party's rules make it impossible to hold a vote of confidence for another year," Garnett points out. "It is very likely that those rules will be changed within the next ten days". But he believes if a vote could be held now, "Johnson would certainly lose and be forced to resign".。然而当投票正式截止、结果页面刷新后，戏剧性的一幕出现了：原本遥遥领先的"裸体小镇"票数瞬间清零，得票率跌至0%；"脱衣舞俱乐部2"同样归零；唯独此前垫底的"海滩"一跃成为100%全票当选的"赢家"。如此离谱的数据反转，意味着在投票最后时刻，要么有近六万张支持"裸体小镇"的选票被全部撤回或作废，要么存在人为后台干预，直接将结果锁定为单一选项。

二 | 值得注意的是，结果页面显示"延迟投票被接受"以及"投票尚未最终完成"等字样，暗示系统仍允许在截止后继续向指定地址捐赠代币，但即便如此，从71%的压倒性领先到0票的彻底消失，在正常的社区投票机制中几乎不可能发生。    Reddit社区迅速炸锅，玩家纷纷晒出投票前后对比截图质疑结果真实性。

三 | 有玩家直接贴出投票截止前"裸体小镇"大幅领先的截图，与最终"海滩100%"的结果形成鲜明对比，直言"这明显是个bug，裸体小镇之前明明赢了"。更多人则将矛头指向Cyberleek本人，嘲讽"他居然在操纵选举，真是太令人震惊了"，认为所谓的社区投票从头到尾就是一场闹剧。有玩家分析道，"他100%是凭着自己掌握的录像自行决定的，这太明显了——没人会花1万个代币去改变结果"。

四 | 还有玩家对从71%骤降到0%的数据表示无法理解，"裸体小镇的比例怎么会降到0%？之前好像是71%"。部分玩家甚至开始互相调侃"到底哪个赢了"，在混乱的结果面前陷入迷茫，也有人无奈表示"终于有点常识了"，暗讽这场闹剧早该被揭穿。    目前，Cyberleek尚未对这一离谱的投票反转作出任何解释。你认为这次投票结果是技术故障、人为操控，还是泄露者自导自演的一出闹剧？如果下一波泄露主题真的变成"海滩"，你还愿意继续关注这位黑客的爆料吗？本文由游民星空制作发布，未经允许禁止转载。更多相关资讯请关注：GTA6专区。

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